Bayesian Optimization Results Evaluation

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I am trying to learn and understand Bayesian Optimization. My code is working like in the documentation page but what is the difference between best observed feasible point and best estimated feasible point? Which result should I consider? Thanks for the help.

Accepted Answer

Alan Weiss
Alan Weiss on 24 May 2018
The difference is that the algorithm makes a model of the objective function, and this model assumes that observations can contain noise (errors). So the best observed feasible point is the one with the lowest returned value from objective function evaluations. The best estimated feasible point is the one that has the lowest estimated mean value according to the latest model of the objective function.
If your objective function is deterministic, then you can set the 'IsObjectiveDeterministic' name-value pair to true, and then these two points are likely to coincide.
Alan Weiss
MATLAB mathematical toolbox documentation
  6 Comments
Alan Weiss
Alan Weiss on 19 Aug 2019
To stop an optimization early, use the OutputFcn name-value pair. For details, see Bayesian Optimization Output Functions.
Alan Weiss
MATLAB mathematical toolbox documentation
muhamed ibrahim
muhamed ibrahim on 30 Aug 2019
Edited: muhamed ibrahim on 30 Aug 2019
regardin what you typed "and this model assumes that observations can contain noise (errors).
"How does Matlab compute this amount of noise? is it an arbitarary value?

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