harville

Version 1.0.0.0 (1.92 KB) by Peter Cotton
The Harville method for exacta, quinella and trifecta probabilities
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Updated 15 Aug 2010

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The basic Harville method for estimating place, show, quinella, exacta and trifecta probabilities from win probabilities. Used and abused by bookmakers and punters the world over.

There are many valid critiques of this formula. Most recently "Explaining the Favorite-Longshot Bias: Is it Risk-Love or
Misperceptions" by Erik Snowberg and Justin Wolfers. See also
"discounted harville formula" (google).

Cite As

Peter Cotton (2024). harville (https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/fileexchange/28483-harville), MATLAB Central File Exchange. Retrieved .

MATLAB Release Compatibility
Created with R2009b
Compatible with any release
Platform Compatibility
Windows macOS Linux
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Version Published Release Notes
1.0.0.0